Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, nevertheless?) is independent from winning or losing on any scratch ticket, you treat each event as persistent event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent races. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Beat the probability of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets one after (if it is exactly what your is actually asking) should be (2/3)^30 = approximately simple.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 the particular 10 million, which depends upon 1 chance out of 192,307.
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